Valorant · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3578fc9191829fcac8ebe984fe60bb4e17e7a05b86cfeb04b21a8466a7b5b1f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DetonatioN FocusMeof Paper Rex, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Paper Rex | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Paper Rex | 48c | 1,020$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.79 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Paper Rex | 48c | 601.64$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.79 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Paper Rex | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Paper Rex | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…3bb3backed Paper Rex | 48c | 418.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked Paper Rex | 51c | 282.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 49c | 282.01$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+5.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.