TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof DetonatioN FocusMe, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,795
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,274

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,795 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16bc…decabacked DetonatioN FocusMe22c18,936$4,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,220.9615431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed DetonatioN FocusMe7c6,480$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.451,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed DetonatioN FocusMe15c6,478$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.9349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed DetonatioN FocusMe12c3,599$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.6532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed DetonatioN FocusMe14c2,111$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe13c1,855$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.4756551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe6c1,615$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.031,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked DetonatioN FocusMe8c1,347$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.773441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DetonatioN FocusMe15c1,319$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed DetonatioN FocusMe15c944.67$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1626447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked DetonatioN FocusMe14c824.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe4c768.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Paper Rex67c670$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.146347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe3c541$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed DetonatioN FocusMe20c496$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7511442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed DetonatioN FocusMe17c458.19$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.893658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed DetonatioN FocusMe14c348$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503450%17 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea1…1349backed DetonatioN FocusMe12c347.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed DetonatioN FocusMe17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Paper Rex68c289$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1177744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Paper Rex68c288$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7870043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Paper Rex69c277$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8974642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0427…f204backed DetonatioN FocusMe18c264.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06b5…cab4backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c259$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.441533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a28…929fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe8c239.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Paper Rex78c234.69$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.541,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…cd25backed DetonatioN FocusMe13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8b7…c8a8backed DetonatioN FocusMe15c215$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Paper Rex80c200$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6952050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked DetonatioN FocusMe16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked DetonatioN FocusMe14c186.35$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Paper Rex78c175$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6655348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked DetonatioN FocusMe7c169.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8696245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…91b2backed DetonatioN FocusMe12c165.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed DetonatioN FocusMe14c160.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0565347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked DetonatioN FocusMe17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x72da…9b77backed DetonatioN FocusMe17c138.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.613844.7%17 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed DetonatioN FocusMe15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e5b…fc11backed DetonatioN FocusMe28c126.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.672564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9651…65dabacked DetonatioN FocusMe12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x583c…86c0backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c124.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.98140%0 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed DetonatioN FocusMe17c118.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0839646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafff…e85fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17b6…8ef6backed DetonatioN FocusMe18c112.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.032445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c109.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.328241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe14c107.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1231227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked DetonatioN FocusMe31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb342…c4ecbacked DetonatioN FocusMe17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92df…7a08backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c98.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610151.5%52 W · 49 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac77…4009backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c80.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.955042%21 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked DetonatioN FocusMe17c72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0628143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed DetonatioN FocusMe16c70$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.225146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed DetonatioN FocusMe15c66.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed DetonatioN FocusMe17c59$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0343843.6%191 W · 247 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Paper Rex71c30.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8251749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Paper Rex80c25.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.148968.5%61 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb678…8887backed Paper Rex76c19.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Paper Rex78c16.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.