Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74fc5d2c10dbf83970bcd3880e34ac5ecd418694e51fe389f4ad2ace884e236a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DetonatioN FocusMe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5556…2759backed Paper Rex | 59c | 1,660$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.75 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 38c | 1,177$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.56 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Paper Rex | 57c | 1,031$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.53 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 1,011$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.77 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Paper Rex | 58c | 552.54$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Paper Rex | 63c | 501$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.37 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Paper Rex | 58c | 489$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 486.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Paper Rex | 58c | 482.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 449.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 339.56$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…0e9cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 327.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Paper Rex | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Paper Rex | 59c | 269.46$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…e85fbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 207.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 40c | 201.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 41c | 187.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Paper Rex | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…494dbacked Paper Rex | 59c | 149.15$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Paper Rex | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Paper Rex | 76c | 120.64$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Paper Rex | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Paper Rex | 62c | 101.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 32c | 100.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Paper Rex | 60c | 92.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Paper Rex | 57c | 91.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 90.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex | 59c | 77.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked Paper Rex | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Paper Rex | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…c4ecbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Paper Rex | 56c | 61.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Paper Rex | 60c | 59.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 37c | 56.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 51.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 51.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 27c | 50.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Paper Rex | 58c | 48.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc545…3e4cbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 29c | 47.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…2037backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 43c | 42.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…9dc5backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 39c | 31.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed DetonatioN FocusMe | 42c | 29.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…36f3backed Paper Rex | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Paper Rex | 60c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14b…0281backed Paper Rex | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…bf50backed Paper Rex | 59c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-5.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+5.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Paper Rex (-4.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+4.5)DetonatioN FocusMe won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5Over won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.