TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb342…c4ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Gold vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: Team Envy vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.95
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Valorant: Sentinels vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Valorant: Team Secret vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.36
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Decidersbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DetonatioN FocusMe (+1.5)backed DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$86.11
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.25
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.93
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$49.98
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$32.57
Valorant: NRG vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.79
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$131.03
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.26
Will Bijan Robinson win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Mike Macdonald win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.08
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$95.07
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.46
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+217.5%+$32.89
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the AFC North?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.33
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$21.62
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.82
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.18
Spread: Bills (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$21.45
Panthers vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$13.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kolkata Knight Riders win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.73
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.51
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$21.42
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.05
Bucks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$16.15
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+52.1%+$11.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Knicks hire Mike Brown as their next head coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+45.4%+$14.87
Will Tyrese Haliburton win Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+35.6%+$17.82
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+97%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$12.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+237.8%+$113.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$25.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+39.3%+$64.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.