TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BBL Esportsof BBL Esports, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$217,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed Natus Vincere42c33,879$14,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,367.7934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BBL Esports59c30,069$17,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,329.0724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2825…4362backed Natus Vincere79c12,449$9,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,816.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Natus Vincere44c11,000$4,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.453956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports59c9,396$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,836.2493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BBL Esports51c5,251$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.1340945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere41c5,251$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.7854751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…6003backed BBL Esports48c4,898$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.454271.4%30 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Natus Vincere40c4,530$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.3819860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed Natus Vincere55c4,251$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Natus Vincere27c3,750$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed BBL Esports32c3,600$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.2922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BBL Esports44c3,468$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.7432462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked BBL Esports59c3,300$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.791560%9 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere43c2,884$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.2811747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BBL Esports48c2,691$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.0394361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere40c2,469$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.9210455.8%58 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed BBL Esports60c2,324$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.193551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed BBL Esports52c2,197$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.0616547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BBL Esports45c2,082$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.3553355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9916952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed BBL Esports57c1,853$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.195151%26 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeac2…dddcbacked Natus Vincere41c1,750$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.512652.4%66 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed BBL Esports48c1,662$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.8746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b2…f2d7backed BBL Esports61c1,565$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked BBL Esports46c1,444$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.6510455.8%58 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7441…4891backed BBL Esports60c1,367$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.911957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked BBL Esports62c1,339$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.025451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BBL Esports55c1,311$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.4756357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BBL Esports56c1,268$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9451749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed BBL Esports55c1,250$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.522449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Natus Vincere43c1,192$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.815062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Natus Vincere42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed BBL Esports61c1,103$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2363955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BBL Esports47c1,069$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.91,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BBL Esports53c1,027$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1656551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere57c1,023$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58125336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BBL Esports40c1,000$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.688640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Natus Vincere39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39026447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Natus Vincere2c966.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8928743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BBL Esports59c887.96$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Natus Vincere39c868.49$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.7115038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BBL Esports51c837.79$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5288844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed BBL Esports61c809.67$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.773240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Natus Vincere40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3206445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BBL Esports29c764$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae4f…0967backed Natus Vincere5c711.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Natus Vincere39c669$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6628143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked BBL Esports38c659.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.499737.1%36 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Natus Vincere39c606.42$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.516759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Natus Vincere40c600.72$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2927145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f18…1ae2backed Natus Vincere45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705052%26 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked BBL Esports61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23421055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed BBL Esports60c583.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.331947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BBL Esports40c581.49$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5668949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BBL Esports31c572.74$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed BBL Esports56c561.68$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2915147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked BBL Esports51c546.56$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.534542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed BBL Esports62c542.02$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9733346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Natus Vincere40c529.9$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9124551%125 W · 120 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Natus Vincere68c519.99$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.595263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed BBL Esports57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21511354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4c…f815backed BBL Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed BBL Esports60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Natus Vincere3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515217.8%27 W · 125 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed BBL Esports60c499.99$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea5…8f4cbacked BBL Esports31c498.06$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.541233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere20c493.16$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Natus Vincere41c484.56$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9635142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BBL Esports54c472.34$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7624250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere53c462.45$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.4274642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Natus Vincere39c453.36$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9628252.5%148 W · 134 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed BBL Esports25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30023847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked BBL Esports51c385.35$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2913662.5%85 W · 51 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed BBL Esports59c373.58$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.582378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere10c361.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.631,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Natus Vincere52c360$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.26636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BBL Esports42c348.19$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.441,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked BBL Esports43c347$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9255637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere51c343$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Natus Vincere24c315.43$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5715358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked BBL Esports64c310.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4662856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere45c309.23$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9526650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Natus Vincere41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12312745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed BBL Esports32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2049139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked BBL Esports60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed BBL Esports47c298.23$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.068158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked BBL Esports67c293$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6912650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed BBL Esports25c291.71$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.2528541.1%117 W · 168 L-26.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports63c291.33$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed BBL Esports54c287.5$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1416144.7%72 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Natus Vincere70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere52c285.41$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2657151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports60c283.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.4484838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed BBL Esports32c281.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2534253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere54c279.89$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BBL Esports55c275.99$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7732141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9562…fbd4backed BBL Esports62c262.3$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.34452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BBL Esports57c257.97$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2760154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85e3…6dbdbacked Natus Vincere40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.