TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof BBL Esports, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,082

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere34c19,092$6,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,598.5224145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BBL Esports48c4,792$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.3553159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere58c4,316$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.7840945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BBL Esports49c4,137$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.5968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BBL Esports44c2,717$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BBL Esports52c2,585$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.9153355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BBL Esports55c2,380$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,316.4256357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BBL Esports39c2,005$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BBL Esports44c1,811$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.871,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BBL Esports40c1,575$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.971,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BBL Esports37c1,108$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.356551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked Natus Vincere54c559.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.813250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere51c529.71$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked BBL Esports67c460$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.851,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed BBL Esports34c448.46$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9123836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed BBL Esports22c402.25$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2860022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BBL Esports43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed BBL Esports58c345.01$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere42c334.28$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8853442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BBL Esports31c306.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Natus Vincere33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.26636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere66c296.8$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.331,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Natus Vincere77c287$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3850944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports43c283$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.381,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere54c281.1$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4262156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed BBL Esports62c250$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0518049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Natus Vincere42c249.98$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9911354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere36c221.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.193148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BBL Esports51c217$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.481134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed BBL Esports40c211.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.384932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed BBL Esports45c206.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6931634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed BBL Esports71c206.54$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.442378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere63c199.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.651,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Natus Vincere63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7312250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked Natus Vincere32c158.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1217642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Natus Vincere69c156.52$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.523740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports45c146.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.71,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14c…7355backed Natus Vincere35c142.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.996735.8%24 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb1…b109backed Natus Vincere44c127.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6618254.4%99 W · 83 L+22.3wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere61c116.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf5b6…eec6backed Natus Vincere32c115.62$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.626100%6 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+159.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Natus Vincere44c113.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.438950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Natus Vincere26c112.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9851948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7065…d555backed BBL Esports52c102.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere43c101$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.571,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x616b…f926backed BBL Esports46c100.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.43345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed BBL Esports37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3714737.4%55 W · 92 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed BBL Esports65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6521454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked BBL Esports47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7527850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BBL Esports41c95.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.981,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BBL Esports34c92.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Natus Vincere38c89.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.528241.1%116 W · 166 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed BBL Esports80c83.44$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.755261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcda…5e95backed BBL Esports64c79.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9211457%65 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked BBL Esports22c79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5420138.3%77 W · 124 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Natus Vincere26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9220547.8%98 W · 107 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked BBL Esports65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed BBL Esports67c75.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011042.7%47 W · 63 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports37c66.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3493049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed BBL Esports47c63.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9291…63d0backed Natus Vincere58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.345076%38 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f66…2dffbacked BBL Esports46c54.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BBL Esports42c52.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2590733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed BBL Esports58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Natus Vincere80c50.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1427360.1%164 W · 109 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Natus Vincere50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415255.9%85 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed BBL Esports58c41.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1565347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32f…1496backed BBL Esports45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86373%46 W · 17 L+10.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+25%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Natus Vincere54c39.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2757151%291 W · 280 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Natus Vincere55c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab3…acc2backed BBL Esports38c37.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked BBL Esports32c31.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe66…8729backed BBL Esports37c31.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Natus Vincere55c24.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1277744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Natus Vincere65c22.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0832157.6%185 W · 136 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Natus Vincere63c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8399846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Natus Vincere78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BBL Esports67c16.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2874642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fed…dc6ebacked BBL Esports78c16.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb56…7277backed BBL Esports80c14.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.