TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BBL Esportsof BBL Esports, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$186,108
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$197,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $186,108 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3af1…d739backed BBL Esports54c38,384$20,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,836.831376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere47c31,221$14,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,623.5754751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed Natus Vincere50c28,940$14,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,335.583956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BBL Esports52c19,200$9,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,21624145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed BBL Esports56c12,915$7,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.8440945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BBL Esports51c10,489$5,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,134.8915343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Natus Vincere51c7,862$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.6911747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Natus Vincere65c4,277$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere60c4,071$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.3626650.8%135 W · 131 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere40c3,603$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.5465559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BBL Esports55c2,562$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15128747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Natus Vincere29c2,512$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.054932.7%16 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BBL Esports61c2,193$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.793049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Natus Vincere43c1,888$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.9626051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked BBL Esports52c1,614$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.591250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+58.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BBL Esports52c1,530$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.2219546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Natus Vincere45c1,442$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.8325554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere6c1,400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Natus Vincere51c1,351$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.225062%31 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Natus Vincere14c1,250$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9332245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x483d…a099backed Natus Vincere52c1,249$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.523348.5%16 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere48c1,247$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…9edfbacked Natus Vincere46c1,179$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Natus Vincere49c1,095$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.9246347.1%218 W · 245 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BBL Esports64c1,010$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5956357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed BBL Esports52c1,000$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4855343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed BBL Esports51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49016950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Natus Vincere55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Natus Vincere32c999.99$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.511354%61 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BBL Esports54c979.36$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.868458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xae4f…0967backed Natus Vincere26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere40c924.72$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8853159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere36c789.77$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8594361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed Natus Vincere46c729.31$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0718049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed BBL Esports55c682.2$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9915843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere48c625.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0956551.2%289 W · 276 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BBL Esports58c624.21$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1353355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BBL Esports68c619.72$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.611,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked BBL Esports57c527.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.833250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Natus Vincere50c520$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BBL Esports64c517.26$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2868949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c94…b843backed BBL Esports51c507.46$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Natus Vincere59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29522449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f0…aeb6backed BBL Esports55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere18c477$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.321,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Natus Vincere48c472$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5621055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b9…ad06backed Natus Vincere42c454.92$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.197254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BBL Esports52c412.55$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Natus Vincere50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19278562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Natus Vincere49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1963852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere35c391.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere34c306.78$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2331634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed BBL Esports51c302.79$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3753442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked BBL Esports51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked BBL Esports54c300$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1396448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked BBL Esports52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.426636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked BBL Esports48c290$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.83756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Natus Vincere17c265.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.369722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed BBL Esports57c263.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.582378.3%18 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Natus Vincere48c262.19$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed BBL Esports55c244$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21dd…e4f5backed Natus Vincere49c239.99$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.96854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Natus Vincere22c238$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4496245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed BBL Esports51c231.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5210842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere39c227.11$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.511,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f9b…df54backed Natus Vincere37c217.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806041.7%25 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Natus Vincere46c216.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.643066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Natus Vincere61c216.54$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.093450%17 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b387backed Natus Vincere46c215.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Natus Vincere20c212.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2523836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BBL Esports52c212.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.271,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Natus Vincere48c209.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.793357.6%19 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Natus Vincere49c203.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Natus Vincere50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Natus Vincere20c200$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3927850%139 W · 139 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Natus Vincere54c199.72$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10723463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed BBL Esports64c194.12$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8165347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BBL Esports73c186$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed BBL Esports54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1921454.2%116 W · 98 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere49c185.11$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.41,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Natus Vincere37c184.83$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.422352.9%118 W · 105 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4941…a2bebacked Natus Vincere50c181.2$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed BBL Esports56c178$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3219655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Natus Vincere30c175.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.193348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Natus Vincere36c175.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…4eecbacked BBL Esports57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4417642.6%75 W · 101 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BBL Esports40c174.57$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3270043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed BBL Esports53c173.35$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5374642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Natus Vincere36c170.72$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2355637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed BBL Esports53c169.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8134253.2%182 W · 160 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports72c162.87$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Natus Vincere34c146.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4938950.6%197 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf247…59f9backed Natus Vincere49c136.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Natus Vincere32c121.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7990733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Natus Vincere63c119.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.972860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Natus Vincere23c112$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7660022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x821b…8b2bbacked Natus Vincere39c109.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.751566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc815…ecfabacked Natus Vincere47c106.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016452.4%86 W · 78 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Natus Vincere47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.