TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf247…59f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.73
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.75
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$35.48
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$38
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astrosbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$33.95
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Arthur Fils vs Rafael Jodarbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.15
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Julieta Pareja vs Xinyu Wangbacked Julieta Pareja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanchbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katie Boulterbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.67
The Memphis Classic: Talia Gibson vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$37.5
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Estoril Open: Hugo Gaston vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Generali Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 15 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.51
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.4
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$31.79
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.45
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.39
CA Tucumán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.