TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Under40c168,388$67,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,220.355650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f0e…2ee5backed Over60c50,912$30,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,547.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c33,782$19,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,121.288,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c32,769$19,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,293.555,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over60c13,479$8,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,053.0217055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over55c10,995$6,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,064.262,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under41c6,150$2,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.693036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over60c6,122$3,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,673.464431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over61c5,000$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0303941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over34c4,224$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.3675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over60c3,948$2,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,380.061,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over60c2,124$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.1355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011618.1%21 W · 95 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over58c1,585$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.4514753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Under72c1,386$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0215945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over59c1,294$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5872058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over60c732.3$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.3815651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over60c665.63$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.389054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over60c585.37$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.2221044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over60c575$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34549136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Over60c500.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.573850%19 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Under41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over60c445$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.9330754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Under42c438.17$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.121963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over60c375.03$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0264633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c358.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.381,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over57c330.56$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.863061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over61c306.98$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.161250%6 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over61c288$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.2419559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over52c267.88$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over63c259$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.172,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Under39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.54257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1182259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Over60c195.36$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2519164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over61c173.61$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.882,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Over60c166.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over61c166.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.57028.6%20 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over36c162.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Over60c159.62$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7711457%65 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over63c158.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Over60c141.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over54c139.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2925147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over62c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3617951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f8…809cbacked Under72c125$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.955354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Over62c116.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.988375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over60c115.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2833365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over61c107.83$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over30c106.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.752,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…3733backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over60c95.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4728665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ac…5feabacked Over62c63.34$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…59f9backed Under41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over62c59.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0840451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over60c58.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x298f…b4e1backed Under42c56.57$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over61c54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9412757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over60c50.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1517251.7%89 W · 83 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc972…98b6backed Under41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa71d…9854backed Under41c46.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.444362.8%27 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x947d…dff0backed Under41c46.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.344456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056b…5a03backed Under38c43.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.153256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3c…2688backed Over58c39.58$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under69c38.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8650643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f25…e9a5backed Over60c37.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.613647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over43c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7515552.3%81 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Over60c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over60c34.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Over60c34.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.464757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c9b…b6d3backed Over60c33.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7218…ea41backed Under41c32.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c30.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.041,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2841…feccbacked Over60c30.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Over60c29.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over45c27.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4767548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Under73c27.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.426955.1%38 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Over63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea7…078bbacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Over61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.045952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under73c21.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.716061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over62c19.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over62c17.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9927549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Over60c16.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.