TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ea7…078b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Asian League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 58 out of 100; worst Mls at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$6.88
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Metsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 18 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CD Guadalajara vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed Santos FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Club Tijuana 1 - 0 Club León FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$151.67
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Club Tijuana vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed Atlante FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.55
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-66%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+62.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+130.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+170.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+311.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+147.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$22.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 73°F or below on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked IlloJuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.