South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b324f26f4f6022e58e3b8fc0641f6717e7ca8aa0b63cf0499c4585f5f4ea65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 58c | 11,168$6,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.4 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 16c | 6,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 4,736$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 4,541$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 4,509$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.31 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 49c | 3,979$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 1,788$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.72 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 54c | 1,293$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 53c | 943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Under | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 43c | 516.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 45c | 492.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.69 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Over | 52c | 402.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 10c | 366.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 69c | 340.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 16c | 331.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 276.52$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 25c | 242.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 74c | 225.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 13c | 189.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 60c | 165.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 74c | 160.92$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 47c | 151.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 36c | 143.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 99.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 75.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 75c | 67.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 69c | 57.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6a…77b8backed Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 46c | 26.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 80c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 79c | 20.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 71c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5this page
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Under won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)AA Estudiantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.