South American Leagues · resolved market
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974613eb3237454f9679bef5aaa61fa2c95e7f8012613781efc477b06184c49a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 8,517$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.68 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,235$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Under | 17c | 3,200$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,187$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 62c | 1,292$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 27c | 688.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 28c | 414.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 50c | 398.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.09 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 297.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 25c | 160.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 141.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 55c | 129.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 40c | 99.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 57c | 99.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 50c | 62.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Under | 20c | 58.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Over | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 42c | 50.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 40c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 44c | 30.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 55c | 25.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 56c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5this page
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Under won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Under won
- AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: AA Estudiantes (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)AA Estudiantes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.