Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7956fa5525056cdd9e02fbdc964b3b836e14d5be7439e2d6f78d2ba499d1d2f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 10,331$6,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,568.98 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 3,006$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Under | 48c | 2,057$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 39c | 1,983$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.95 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 55c | 1,532$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 1,170$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.53 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 38c | 1,042$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.21 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 36c | 996.75$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 743.41$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 674.7$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.73 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 63c | 673.32$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 36c | 518.22$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.24 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 446.18$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 42c | 360.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.22 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 63c | 325$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.57 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 231.4$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 57c | 205.57$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 35c | 188.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 175.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 52c | 155.41$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 36c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 36c | 139.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 37c | 131$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 49c | 118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 36c | 103.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Over | 62c | 89.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 63c | 85.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Over | 63c | 76.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 72c | 40.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 48c | 40.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 36c | 37.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed Under | 37c | 33.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Under | 36c | 29.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6de2…d0e5backed Over | 55c | 26.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 64c | 26.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 62c | 23.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.