Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27f7b071c36b5287b835bb2c3b3fac3e2625ef1e224c9f60b0299e367f98e25d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 41c | 8,782$3,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.52 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 2,725$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.16 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Over | 40c | 2,476$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,029$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 1,825$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.21 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 1,757$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.25 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 1,668$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.03 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 33c | 1,368$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 33c | 751.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.33 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 625.83$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.59 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 50c | 492.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 59c | 452.48$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 439$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…881ebacked Over | 42c | 396.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Under | 60c | 382.11$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 40c | 378.05$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 59c | 378$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 61c | 370.91$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 36c | 356.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 237.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 75c | 174.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -9.2wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 54c | 145.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 37c | 132.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Under | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…ef21backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Under | 64c | 78.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 39c | 73.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…b2e3backed Over | 30c | 66.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Under | 61c | 65.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 62.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Under | 72c | 59.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…3d5dbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Over | 41c | 50.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked Under | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.34per pick | 59cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…1df8backed Under | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 74c | 39.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 35c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Under | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Under | 65c | 31.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 29.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Under | 58c | 27.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…dd2abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…03cebacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 64c | 23.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 21.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 74c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.