Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bb8758e6e72fff928fdf3115882c6d848679945a4cde57f7ae2b0dbc17a9a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 6,919$4,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.57 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 3,462$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,303$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.43 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 59c | 1,465$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.79 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 1,382$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.89 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Yes | 60c | 1,368$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 1,199$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.06 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 1,003$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.03 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 991.44$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 46c | 891.97$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.68 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 769$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 671.3$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.52 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 58c | 427.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 39c | 303$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 40c | 248.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.82 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 40c | 241.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed No | 43c | 197.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 181.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 52c | 180.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 132.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 131.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 42c | 97.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…9093backed Yes | 59c | 84.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 40c | 84.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 70c | 74.25$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked No | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…e3c5backed No | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 50c | 36.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…018ebacked Yes | 61c | 22.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…22c0backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed No | 71c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.