Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf87e85962bf07e1a05bf170b9d7d1299396616eb5440a279e4c02b82f56e3b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vasteraas SKof Vasteraas SK, Orgryte IS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Vasteraas SK | 38c | 17,515$6,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,935.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 12,061$7,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,495.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Vasteraas SK | 39c | 1,795$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.61 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 1,354$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.93 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 1,111$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Orgryte IS | 62c | 944.38$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.51 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Orgryte IS | 61c | 597.54$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.42 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Vasteraas SK | 40c | 570.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.08 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Vasteraas SK | 38c | 555.59$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 511.65$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.77 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Orgryte IS | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 492.69$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…dc2bbacked Orgryte IS | 51c | 472.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 437.53$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.49 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 394.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.61 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Orgryte IS | 60c | 291$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Orgryte IS | 60c | 289.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Vasteraas SK | 36c | 230.55$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78b…3a8abacked Orgryte IS | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…4eb6backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 199$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Vasteraas SK | 36c | 183.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Vasteraas SK | 57c | 147$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Orgryte IS | 60c | 146.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Vasteraas SK | 37c | 139.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 139$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed Vasteraas SK | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Orgryte IS | 60c | 106.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Orgryte IS | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 95.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vasteraas SK | 44c | 79.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Orgryte IS | 62c | 79.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Orgryte IS | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Vasteraas SK | 38c | 79.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 74.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Orgryte IS | 43c | 74.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Orgryte IS | 42c | 71.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 65.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 59.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Orgryte IS | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Orgryte IS | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 42.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Orgryte IS | 57c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 38.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Vasteraas SK | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Vasteraas SK | 36c | 34.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…3b2bbacked Orgryte IS | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…3a9cbacked Orgryte IS | 63c | 32.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b9…88d2backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Orgryte IS | 52c | 28.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…dac9backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 27.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Orgryte IS | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed Orgryte IS | 66c | 20.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Orgryte IS | 63c | 16.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Orgryte IS | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed Orgryte IS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)Orgryte IS won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.