Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc189dab39ca4b0a968c9db4e65387898a063ccac23305deddaa1a7a4a8babb65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orgryte ISof Vasteraas SK, Orgryte IS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Vasteraas SK | 20c | 7,278$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.5 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 4,215$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 1,841$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.22 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Vasteraas SK | 21c | 980.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Vasteraas SK | 20c | 720.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.13 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Vasteraas SK | 20c | 499.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 488.37$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.67 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Vasteraas SK | 18c | 452$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Vasteraas SK | 21c | 407.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Vasteraas SK | 19c | 310.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Vasteraas SK | 20c | 301.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Vasteraas SK | 20c | 292.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 200.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Orgryte IS | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 99.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…1b4dbacked Vasteraas SK | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 84.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 84.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Vasteraas SK | 18c | 77.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…54f2backed Vasteraas SK | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa5…be51backed Vasteraas SK | 21c | 68.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Orgryte IS | 79c | 65.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 64.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Orgryte IS | 71c | 64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…25ebbacked Orgryte IS | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Orgryte IS | 80c | 50.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…3edebacked Vasteraas SK | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f1…5d15backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 32.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Orgryte IS | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf684…23adbacked Orgryte IS | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Orgryte IS | 74c | 25.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Orgryte IS | 80c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Orgryte IS | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef6…3a9cbacked Orgryte IS | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Orgryte IS | 80c | 16.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Orgryte IS (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Spread: Vasteraas SK (-1.5)Vasteraas SK won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 5.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Orgryte IS 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Vasteraas SK vs. Orgryte IS: Vasteraas SK O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.