Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4896c2043776234615d30584d7449e8134211a9b5aad291f2c643b643e1d2230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 3,199$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.42 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 56c | 2,893$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 53c | 2,475$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.4 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 76c | 1,966$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 56c | 1,799$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 1,765$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.55 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 1,632$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.38 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 35c | 1,492$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.64 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 1,408$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.36 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 775.57$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 5c | 629.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 68c | 610.19$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 31c | 513.1$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 43c | 386.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 49c | 341.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.99 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 261.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 30c | 256.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 51c | 254.1$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5881…ca26backed Under | 71c | 212.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 25c | 186.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 32c | 161.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Under | 69c | 145$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 140.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 49c | 134.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 69c | 131.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 41c | 119.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 69c | 114$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 39c | 112.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 102.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…5413backed Over | 17c | 99.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 95.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 69c | 71.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 67.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 40c | 67.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 49c | 60.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 31c | 59.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 38c | 52.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 51.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 25c | 47.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 30c | 35.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 69c | 33.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 69c | 31.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 57c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 55c | 29.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 27.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…c02dbacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 55c | 21.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…5bedbacked Under | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 74c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5this page
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Kalmar FF O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Kalmar FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Mjallby AIF O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Mjallby AIF O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)Kalmar FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.