Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dbab6b80be411fa3b60b724c14ba62c3d335aef15431a0ee7ed702ac39c8616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Under | 23c | 3,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 78c | 2,391$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.07 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 24c | 1,655$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 77c | 1,390$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.73 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 1,036$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.81 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 891.67$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.06 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 648.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 75c | 298.41$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 76c | 294.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 257.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 78c | 111.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 21c | 101.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 79c | 61.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 21c | 59.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 78c | 52.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Under | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…e383backed Over | 79c | 27.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…8ae0backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 76cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…c91dbacked Over | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 1.5this page
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Kalmar FF O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Kalmar FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Mjallby AIF O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: Mjallby AIF O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: Mjallby AIF (-1.5)Kalmar FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.