TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee4d…5413

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.92
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$100.62
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$108.91
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$155
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$40
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$27.64
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$62.48
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+133.5%+$49.41
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Gwangju FC vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$39.2
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
FC Anyang vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Seoul vs. Ulsan HD FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$33.21
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+215.8%+$102.49
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$84.99
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$111.48
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Aarhus GF vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$23.19
Kalmar FF vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will IK Start win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$65.99
Kristiansund BK vs. IK Start: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$45
Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
Degerfors IF vs. Djurgardens IF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$150.05
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)backed FC Groningen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.5
Lillestrøm SK vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$55.99
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$17.59
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CSyD Macará vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.4
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.14
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$73.85
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$204.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+72%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Libertybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$91.8
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.65
Dallas Wings vs. Chicago Skybacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$178.38
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$159.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$86.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$70.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+34.1%+$50.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.