TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FCof Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,522 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2735…42ebbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC80c6,543$5,217 inLost-$5,216.592075%15 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC21c2,067$439 inWon+$1,627.482,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC19c1,842$350 inWon+$1,492.118843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC19c1,191$226 inWon+$965.045,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC20c903.88$181 inWon+$723.344663%29 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC23c837.89$189 inWon+$648.993815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Qingdao Hainiu FC12c640.05$76 inLost-$75.8492835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC10c363.72$37 inLost-$36.7272144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC17c298.57$51 inWon+$247.612,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef1…e893backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC19c217.4$42 inWon+$175.51580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+171.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC69c145.39$100 inWon+$45.4912362.6%77 W · 46 L+17.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Qingdao Hainiu FC80c119.6$95 inLost-$95.0836352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC15c99.99$15 inWon+$84.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC12c97.73$12 inLost-$12.0258542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC19c82.91$16 inWon+$67.1614752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC22c74.96$16 inLost-$16.499339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9732…cd57backed Qingdao Hainiu FC21c67.27$14 inLost-$14825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x484b…59f4backed Qingdao Hainiu FC30c66.67$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC18c65$12 inLost-$11.851,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC29c61.33$18 inWon+$43.541,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cd…cc1bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC71c59.99$43 inLost-$42.59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC80c50$40 inWon+$1024548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC25c48.72$12 inLost-$12.081145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+122.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Qingdao Hainiu FC55c40$22 inLost-$2226052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b4…0821backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC31c38.71$12 inWon+$26.711136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC49c36.98$18 inWon+$18.6936142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.