TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60b4…0821

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.19
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.09
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$15.27
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.11
Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-1.5)backed Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$26.71
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.84
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.29
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.23
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AIK vs. GAIS end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.