Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221d3a6eadbeee4e2413e47dad9108a718f66ccc62fcbf2f38c7bd72cc11ab44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 47c | 7,264$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.08 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 59c | 5,823$3,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.55 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 53c | 5,352$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.6 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 3,317$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.91 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 24c | 3,159$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 2c | 2,083$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +142.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.66 | 70 | 74.3%52 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +39%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 18c | 1,846$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,347$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.08 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 14c | 1,156$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 45c | 1,086$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.7 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 44c | 977.72$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.03 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 963$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed No | 45c | 766.95$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.64 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 55c | 708$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Yes | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 31c | 648.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 37c | 594.38$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 591.81$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.22 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 61c | 587.43$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.23 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 51c | 539.64$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 9c | 526.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 52c | 524.68$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.72 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 48c | 491.69$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 435.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.74 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed No | 47c | 434.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 42c | 430.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 423.86$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.45 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 11c | 415$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 360.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.15 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 42c | 359$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 51c | 329.26$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.34 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 65c | 313.57$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 45c | 310.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 56c | 297.61$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 32c | 272.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Yes | 48c | 242.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 60c | 238.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 5c | 232$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 49c | 227.39$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 210.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…4420backed Yes | 47c | 208.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 12c | 202$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 199.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 49c | 189.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 53c | 181.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 57c | 167.67$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 64c | 167.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 76c | 151.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 149.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes | 46c | 147$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 52c | 132.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 28c | 131.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 47c | 126.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 49c | 122.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 49c | 122.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.09 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 49c | 120.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 116.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 49c | 116.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Yes | 55c | 100.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 99.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 97.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.18 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Yes | 42c | 95.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 52c | 95.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 35c | 85.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 59c | 84.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 53c | 81.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 61c | 73.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 70.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 28c | 67.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…9aa0backed No | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 32c | 53.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 50.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 51c | 44.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 56c | 42.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed No | 49c | 41.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.