South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-17?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa526a0b33bd6057251e39695ab537b151e670f58b72d4d6800f757766872ef1

Rebuilt 39 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $143,940
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $169,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,940 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	80c	22,643$18,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,569.19	8,112	48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L	+27.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	32c	19,829$6,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,391.43	752	40.8%307 W · 445 L	-17.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	61c	14,229$8,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,499.53	575	40.2%231 W · 344 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	30c	5,530$1,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,874.81	316	43%136 W · 180 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No	14c	5,353$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.34	3,755	38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes	28c	5,069$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,631.41	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	21c	4,381$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.71	2,287	34.3%784 W · 1,503 L	-30.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No	1c	3,794$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.83	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	11c	3,772$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.4	5,762	45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L	+94.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes	35c	3,483$1,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,266.83	216	38.4%83 W · 133 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	63c	3,381$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.59	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No	55c	2,573$1,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,415.66	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No	40c	2,483$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.16	2,519	39%982 W · 1,537 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No	2c	2,047$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.94	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No	54c	1,934$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.18	192	55.2%106 W · 86 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No	60c	1,895$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.2	308	47.7%147 W · 161 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No	70c	1,588$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111.6	429	62.2%267 W · 162 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked No	16c	1,544$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.06	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No	2c	1,365$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	97	10.3%10 W · 87 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-72.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	70c	1,285$905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.15	1,670	51.8%865 W · 805 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes	64c	1,263$805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.84	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	61c	1,239$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.33	1,038	49.4%513 W · 525 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No	15c	1,169$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.3	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dac…6b71backed Yes	27c	1,062$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$775.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	9c	838.3$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.41	256	35.9%92 W · 164 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No	9c	794.12$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.7	219	38.8%85 W · 134 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	28c	737$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.35	382	33%126 W · 256 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	73c	679.21$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.11	2,335	51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed No	19c	641.73$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.49	55	40%22 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No	17c	626.18$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.55	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	46c	568.7$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.54	1,303	50.1%653 W · 650 L	-14.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No	49c	540$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.73	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	71c	499.99$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.99	208	46.6%97 W · 111 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes	75c	493.75$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.75	352	40.3%142 W · 210 L	-28.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No	55c	439.43$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.69	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No	59c	431.68$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.15	106	67.9%72 W · 34 L	+15.7wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	12c	431.18$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.43	166	41.6%69 W · 97 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes	73c	345.35$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.04	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	34c	333.27$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.65	274	42%115 W · 159 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	23c	254.68$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.64	91	22%20 W · 71 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes	80c	225.58$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.58	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No	11c	208.59$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	321	39.6%127 W · 194 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes	24c	200$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	131	34.4%45 W · 86 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No	73c	200$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	559	46%257 W · 302 L	-19.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes	51c	200$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.56	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed No	55c	196$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No	69c	193.55$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.55	312	40.1%125 W · 187 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes	31c	193.55$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.55	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No	7c	190.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	194	37.1%72 W · 122 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked No	9c	179.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.34	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No	24c	178.41$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No	12c	157.47$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	199	53.3%106 W · 93 L	+11.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No	72c	154.89$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.49	2,614	54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L	+25.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	73c	140$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	146	43.2%63 W · 83 L	-9.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes	44c	116$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.96	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No	72c	115$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.45	185	57.8%107 W · 78 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No	27c	112.83$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.83	429	46.2%198 W · 231 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No	56c	107.14$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	127	55.9%71 W · 56 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	46c	106.2$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.35	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+6.3wins	+0.14per pick	38cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.06	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	485	47.6%231 W · 254 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No	18c	99.95$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.37	675	48%324 W · 351 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked No	54c	75.15$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.58	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed No	56c	72$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3f…b11cbacked Yes	28c	71.43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.43	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.44per pick	22cpaid	+123.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	46c	54.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.23	311	36.7%114 W · 197 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No	73c	53.29$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.9	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No	26c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	113	50.4%57 W · 56 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes	75c	44.19$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.03	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6c…be8cbacked Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.48	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes	59c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.6	87	75.9%66 W · 21 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	126	46%58 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes	46c	36.85$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.9	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes	46c	27.9$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.07	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Yes	46c	27.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes	67c	26.39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.72	333	65.5%218 W · 115 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes	61c	24$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.36	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…0821backed Yes	52c	23.08$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.08	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed No	55c	22.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.13	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	234	53%124 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dcf…f174backed No	55c	18.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No	70c	17.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.93	138	56.5%78 W · 60 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Yes	62c	16.84$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No	70c	16.36$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No	73c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	170	67.6%115 W · 55 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked No	71c	14.71$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-17?this page
Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-17?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-17?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event