South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555718cb9986af891c5901c97b35149415d4d3cccaf10fa1ff2ec002cf6a8507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 14,551$10,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,895.64 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 9,130$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.1 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 3,887$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 10c | 1,219$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 76c | 978.56$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 920$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.4 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 19c | 757.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 10c | 600$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 399.27$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 395$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 27c | 360.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 12c | 312$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 24c | 221.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 67c | 217.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 186$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 24c | 174.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 73c | 163$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 27c | 155.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 27c | 115.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Yes | 21c | 91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Yes | 30c | 87.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 71.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed Yes | 22c | 67.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 80c | 61.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…503abacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 75c | 47.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Yes | 25c | 41.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-17?Yes won
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.