South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc49ebf5798fcb20488ed081c53d65b8b680fe436c101ab2144ca77ac7816ee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 37,912$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.18 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 12,864$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.4 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 80c | 8,272$6,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.04 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 76c | 1,316$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.94 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,245$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.75 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 928.68$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed No | 77c | 888$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 45c | 837.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.09 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 9c | 735.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04d5…66d8backed Yes | 44c | 678.73$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 55c | 559.33$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.7 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 45c | 553$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 28c | 546.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 72c | 536.04$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 391.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.38 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 15c | 352$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 285$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 73c | 272.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 259.76$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 220$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 13c | 164.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 45c | 124.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 122.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 24c | 118.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…c675backed Yes | 27c | 94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 93.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 24c | 83.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 56c | 83.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 45c | 77.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 73c | 74.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 46c | 68.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 36c | 66.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 41c | 27.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked No | 76c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 76c | 20.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-07-17?this page
- Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-17?Yes won
- Will Club León FC vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.