TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,230

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No40c18,268$7,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,948.0231349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c17,281$8,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5505,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No68c11,490$7,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,732.119155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c10,405$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,320.718,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes64c9,130$5,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,853.761,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes63c6,080$3,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,860.0157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed No38c5,288$1,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.2312646%58 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes58c5,090$2,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,967.5416864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes62c4,240$2,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.85939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No39c3,963$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.7312156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes50c3,816$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,919.12,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No37c3,249$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.529122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No31c3,234$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.484436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes58c3,205$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.2444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes61c3,091$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,885.5425635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No46c3,054$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.1123254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No43c2,957$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.9211039.1%43 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fdb…e075backed Yes16c2,838$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb9…2ed5backed Yes16c2,481$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No44c2,357$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.572,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No40c2,300$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.3675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No38c1,838$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.9645746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd072…95e8backed Yes64c1,674$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes20c1,133$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.291,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes55c1,127$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.3129047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d2…399bbacked Yes19c1,114$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.65520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6cf…5507backed Yes28c1,100$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+121.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes60c1,083$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.520036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes18c1,050$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes59c1,017$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4319437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked No42c952.9$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.1810635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes61c948.78$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.391,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked No25c941.02$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.7711328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b79…b1bebacked Yes58c862.06$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked No36c852.59$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.377248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes54c830.28$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.7230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No37c797.59$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.488657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Yes63c776.9$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes20c750$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes60c694.97$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5712737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No39c666.68$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes61c657.21$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.8327442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes10c629.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.926040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes26c614.97$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.212933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Yes65c602.42$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes58c571.94$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.1421538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No35c571.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.428818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes17c544.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No23c537.43$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.9810933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes59c524.48$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7319050.5%96 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No38c522.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.416339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed No37c500.01$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3152065%13 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Yes61c499.72$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No58c494.49$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.1595155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed No38c480.15$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes53c476.63$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…5806backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003542.9%15 W · 20 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Yes10c446.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.451225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes40c426.78$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.719641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes21c379.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7316160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No78c365.39$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.227342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Yes58c324.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.714339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94c1…8036backed Yes64c312.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed No35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7115625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes62c275.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0119953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No68c263.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.841952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes20c262.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.272,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Yes57c254.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed No38c253.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.066524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No62c244.22$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.681,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Yes56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f1…be41backed No26c211.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes45c211$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0221938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked No41c199$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.144452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x489c…1a43backed No40c198.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes10c197.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Yes25c195$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.421435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed No38c180.7$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.166543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No57c178.01$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.671,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No43c174.55$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.3232139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Yes62c163.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.491330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No45c158.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1442946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes55c151.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes19c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes21c139.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3914643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes57c139.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-62.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes24c135$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed Yes27c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.491428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes48c115$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5311350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes11c109$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes63c99.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310364.1%66 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f46…7a71backed Yes60c99.79$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x273d…fb63backed Yes30c84.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.882227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.