TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$337,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c30,973$14,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,728.272,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c30,000$6,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,82531643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes55c21,147$11,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,503.818321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed No45c16,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes67c15,459$10,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.225,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes58c15,150$8,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.1219846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No2c14,022$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9431349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No44c12,260$5,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,435.634047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c12,173$5,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,356.31,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes54c11,148$5,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,156.4612737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Yes75c9,468$7,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,331.0819155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes57c6,899$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,993.642250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No42c6,718$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.516350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No44c5,917$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.7775240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No46c5,850$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,690.992759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed No45c5,012$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed No46c4,985$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,292.9140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No45c4,228$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.8910933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c3,364$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.368,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No1c2,828$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.288928.1%25 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes71c2,557$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.965939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No7c2,298$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.871,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No46c2,176$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.241,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb778…6492backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No47c1,854$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.271,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1422049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.2210875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c1,393$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.939122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No41c1,324$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.8422457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No46c1,287$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.2527549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No47c1,209$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.431,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No46c1,190$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.071,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No46c1,190$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.472,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c1,190$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.051,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No44c1,141$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7331039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No46c1,009$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.2727349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed No3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes52c999.62$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.413925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes59c972.87$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.6450643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes59c966$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.2948547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No46c929.15$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.416561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed No47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No12c849.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6516641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes6c783.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.83,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No18c773.33$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No42c749$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.3435240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes68c744.06$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9319437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No15c685.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7732139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes61c656$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.844770.2%33 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Yes57c649.12$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.123860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c635.79$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7851945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No45c600$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27116160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc7d…2c2cbacked No5c594.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.351225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Yes41c594.86$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.4416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No44c594$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3711323.9%27 W · 86 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x489c…1a43backed No5c570.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No55c559$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.71,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb809…2004backed Yes54c550.44$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No53c528.79$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.141952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes57c526.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3119963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No51c509.99$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.667342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes61c508.81$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2535046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c503$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.722,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…fd61backed No46c461.16$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No37c424.48$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.066357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes38c399.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9912933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed No37c390.27$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No45c382.93$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.932,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed No47c361.7$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed No38c322.06$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.386524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes38c312.61$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0930847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No45c288$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.618358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed No74c270.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes61c269.06$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9321765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c236.55$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.251,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c222.68$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8766837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No46c212.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes58c207.41$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.414542.2%19 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Yes11c203$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.672437.5%9 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+39.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes53c201.09$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7789645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9620846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b6…a582backed Yes53c195.81$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.03580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1805…8905backed Yes20c183.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.48862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No31c179.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.011936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked No46c178.41$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8fc…b543backed No45c172.23$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.881947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Yes52c170$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.214247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes50c169.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.381,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Yes64c168.55$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.898554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No44c149.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No45c144$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes60c143.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.337347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6314643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked No37c135.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.