Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43e14d6a65bd2cf83c3f3d74b39765ee2bec0c46a18024fec222abcadf2f743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 4,751$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 3,357$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.6 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Yes | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 2,539$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 37c | 2,241$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 37c | 2,146$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.02 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 1,969$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.42 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 37c | 1,922$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.28 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 1,402$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.87 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 37c | 1,270$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 62c | 918.52$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 15c | 804$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 349.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 29c | 333.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +254.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 20c | 214$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 37c | 165.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 163.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…fb26backed Yes | 9c | 161.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 20c | 150.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 148$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 38c | 134.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 70c | 125.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 28c | 123.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 122.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 13c | 119.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 17c | 115.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 97.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Yes | 32c | 96.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 63c | 71.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 55c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 25c | 55.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 52c | 51.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 38c | 51.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 48c | 47.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…7729backed No | 63c | 46.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…0821backed Yes | 38c | 37.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…1642backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…2f84backed No | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 37c | 32.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 63c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 49c | 28.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 73c | 26.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…f9c0backed Yes | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 26.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 62c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 67c | 20.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9077…9c3fbacked No | 63c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Yes | 66c | 15.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.