Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdce57413c7742a41f09854e147fae6d33572a6aeefb5486fdd28577bbad3507a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.34 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Yes | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,505$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 21c | 1,375$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.67 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 66c | 928$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.52 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7618…24c6backed Yes | 33c | 915.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 34c | 911.76$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 66c | 899.19$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.73 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 48c | 867.32$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +254.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 771.32$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 57c | 536.85$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 34c | 335.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 301.58$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.54 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 48c | 272.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 263.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 66c | 240$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 66c | 238.15$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 63c | 228$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 30c | 227.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 19c | 224.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…fb26backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 41c | 193$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 9c | 192.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 16c | 148.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 30c | 130.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 101.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 27c | 99.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 39c | 99.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 27c | 93.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 84.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 46c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 78.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 66c | 76.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 76.04$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 68.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 22c | 66.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 70c | 61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 73c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 49.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Yes | 34c | 47.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 23.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.