Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x552f74b5d2ae7dbe0f3c99bcb30072cd649d6f3d2dcf90df12dc159604c2fdd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 4,603$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.22 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 3,272$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.31 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 70c | 2,152$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.17 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 47c | 2,004$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.54 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 711.97$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.1 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 71c | 633.51$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…9e72backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 28c | 577.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 505.82$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 354.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.07 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 48c | 316.75$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 315.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 70c | 275.81$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.59 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 31c | 182.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…9401backed Yes | 38c | 178$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 72c | 159$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 147$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 24c | 146.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 29c | 141.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 45c | 130.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 121.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 29c | 111.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 96.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 85.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 48c | 82.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 50c | 79.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 72.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 70.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…eddabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +251%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 79c | 50.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 49.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 50c | 44.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 51c | 31.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 80c | 29.06$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 76c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?this page
- Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
- Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.