TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc89e…6a30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,861.59
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$6,838Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+582.9%+$39,861.7
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+204.7%+$5,244.36
Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,876.72
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,732.69
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spread: France (-4.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,075
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,501Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500.63
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$818Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$818.09
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+130%+$915.75
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$749
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$1,285.2
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-49.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
Will River Plate beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fluminense win Group F at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Palmeiras beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Inter Miami vs. Palmeiras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Will Botafogo win Group B at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atlético Madrid beat Botafogo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+131.5%+$19.72
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+198.3%+$39.67
Will Atlético Madrid beat PSG?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Barcelona win on 2025-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.53
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.