Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eec18358be1b53f61a6de8201aec8cee0ef89dee820431459aac1bbc09656eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 13,875$9,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 33c | 13,366$4,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.74 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 68c | 6,757$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.53 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 3,208$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.29 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 33c | 2,416$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.26 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 66c | 2,277$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.18 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 67c | 2,090$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,490$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.62 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 948.05$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.78 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 37c | 930$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.1 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 896.08$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.55 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90fc…064fbacked Yes | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 33c | 590.72$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.94 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 63c | 531.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 37c | 499.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 27c | 484.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.45 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 66c | 284$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 277$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 37c | 251.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 63c | 246.83$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 63c | 235.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 62c | 235$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 65c | 210.25$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 63c | 161.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 79c | 125$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 66c | 117.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 34c | 109.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 80c | 99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 24c | 79.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 35c | 68.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 33c | 68.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +8.0wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed No | 65c | 66.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked No | 67c | 55.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 67c | 55.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 67c | 54.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 51.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed No | 64c | 41.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…09d2backed Yes | 34c | 40.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ae…c34fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…c76dbacked Yes | 33c | 39.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 67c | 32.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 33c | 32.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ed…a4f5backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…060dbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…a711backed Yes | 37c | 27.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 24.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 65c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 64c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.