Serie A · resolved market
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc62cc05351decea03eb4330435eace6ae7f69e175b20993e1e3098e6fa17fdc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 9,518$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.64 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 67c | 7,936$5,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.89 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 33c | 6,966$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 4,717$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.16 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 4,477$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.41 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 68c | 3,559$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.86 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 2,585$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.91 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,939$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.01 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 68c | 1,442$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…684dbacked No | 69c | 1,273$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 38c | 1,193$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.66 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 68c | 999.98$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.99 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 66c | 850$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 14c | 725.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 32c | 531.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 60c | 390.83$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…2354backed No | 69c | 305.62$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 65c | 296.16$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 48c | 261.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 27c | 244.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 32c | 208$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 205.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 11c | 200.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 33c | 188$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 45c | 172.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 44c | 166.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.28 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 140.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…4e1fbacked No | 69c | 95.52$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 90.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 32c | 78.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 51c | 67.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 32c | 59.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 33c | 39.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 33c | 38.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 36.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 40c | 33.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 68c | 31.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 63cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…060dbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 67c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 64c | 18.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.