TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4a7…4a1dbacked No68c37,314$25,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,373.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c14,034$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,599.312,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c10,324$5,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,565.851,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes21c10,200$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,073.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes35c8,900$3,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No65c5,860$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.2268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes32c4,909$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.312350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes45c4,779$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.3534239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c3,662$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.8498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Yes22c3,518$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1256936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb450…eaefbacked Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.8840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9766…a41dbacked No20c2,192$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c2,191$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,489.6632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes32c2,122$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+113.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No67c1,616$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.718463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No65c1,496$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.272770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes32c1,491$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No38c1,460$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.4730828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes32c1,373$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.618951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c1,319$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7341954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes34c1,232$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.191450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No66c1,129$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.279950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No68c999.96$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.972748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes70c933.97$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No72c898.77$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.11837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee6…a1efbacked No30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No20c748.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No20c720$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes56c715.7$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No79c470$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No34c416.86$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6917529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No80c380.98$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.361816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-77.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No66c307.35$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No19c291.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3239740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes32c278.58$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.0432854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes30c275.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.735623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes32c244$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c13…9013backed No69c240$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes66c225$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No70c207.1$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.97475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed No69c190.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.425843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes33c186.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes57c186$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.355339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes65c181.75$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6131738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x487e…0d66backed Yes34c176.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No20c165.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1713350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes34c162$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.222025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf4…5324backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb830…b4debacked No69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes34c140.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c138.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes31c122.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes23c120$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No67c110$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.57552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes32c109.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.515158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No29c108.64$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.735139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c105.73$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1941854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.942040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699844.9%44 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes32c97.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.131747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed No14c83.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e9…e746backed Yes34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes55c70.97$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.298958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Yes70c70.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.291291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.29per pick63cpaid+44.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa698…9c3dbacked No30c70.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd494…bfafbacked No30c66.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes32c60.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.182744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed No20c54.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes32c53.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.512634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes52c50.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes30c49.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+78.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes49c47.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0611260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8815755.4%87 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed No67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc20c…fdb5backed Yes30c42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed Yes32c37.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7aae…7efcbacked No68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes32c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.720749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b4…0821backed Yes32c34.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked No73c32.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes59c24.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0123345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes62c23.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.832166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe087…bc81backed No55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dde…4756backed No69c16.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No66c15.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+70.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No66c15.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes72c14.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No73c14.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.272133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.