La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd612159d5b01fecc86e138e4773ccf6079f07f75dd30bc9d55ce81e89869919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelonaof Real Madrid CF, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 71c | 5,180$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Madrid CF | 8c | 3,588$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.36 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 3,375$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Real Madrid CF | 7c | 2,872$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.8 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 76c | 2,848$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.94 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Real Madrid CF | 17c | 2,776$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Real Madrid CF | 51c | 1,973$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 1,455$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 1,112$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.24 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 48c | 1,091$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.32 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 118 | 22.9%27 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Real Madrid CF | 7c | 976.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Real Madrid CF | 23c | 864.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Real Madrid CF | 30c | 859.55$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 839.58$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.29 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 666.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.58 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 651.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Real Madrid CF | 36c | 594$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 73c | 497$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid CF | 43c | 462.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 404.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 401.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 310.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 230$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Real Madrid CF | 25c | 216.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 63c | 173.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 172.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 170$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3b…ab63backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 155.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 78c | 142.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 77c | 130.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 128$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 118.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 116.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 70c | 116$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Real Madrid CF | 26c | 114.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Real Madrid CF | 27c | 110.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Real Madrid CF | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 96.32$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Real Madrid CF | 29c | 93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 88.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Real Madrid CF | 25c | 76.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 76.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…d827backed Real Madrid CF | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Real Madrid CF | 22c | 65.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf39…7032backed Real Madrid CF | 26c | 50.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 49.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 46.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 40.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 79c | 27.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 80c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 79c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 68c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.