TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,809 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over0c91,245$91 inLost-$91.241,01733.4%340 W · 677 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c4,475$181 inLost-$181.483,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over7c3,216$236 inLost-$236.3484144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x123f…8d5fbacked Over10c1,988$199 inLost-$198.7560%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Over7c1,237$87 inLost-$86.625131.4%16 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c1,175$111 inLost-$111.281,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…e7e0backed Over11c1,055$116 inLost-$1161040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over4c1,027$40 inLost-$40.4334044.4%151 W · 189 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over3c928.99$31 inLost-$30.96170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c694.07$76 inLost-$75.6925033.6%84 W · 166 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over8c342.72$28 inLost-$28.557839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c238.27$24 inLost-$24.4441239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over13c200$26 inLost-$264738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad7…6117backed Over9c162.06$15 inLost-$15.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over8c149.99$12 inLost-$1214626%38 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over11c136$15 inLost-$14.9614150.4%71 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over10c100$10 inLost-$1014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under79c14.11$11 inWon+$2.9628846.5%134 W · 154 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.