La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5af8ee4d32f7af4e11d2a6960ced9356eb3e1bc48d83a4516c0e3e950c7340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 12,982$6,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,527.12 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 42c | 4,237$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.54 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 2,053$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.66 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 1,953$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.22 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 40c | 1,748$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked Over | 24c | 1,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 1,356$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.64 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 76c | 1,065$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 59c | 991$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.31 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 931$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 59c | 906$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.46 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 39c | 830.87$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 267.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 58c | 227.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…8c15backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 22c | 210$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Over | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 162.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 61c | 147.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Over | 42c | 147$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 45c | 145.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 130.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 122.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…2eb4backed Over | 54c | 99.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…fc75backed Over | 42c | 91.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 41c | 87.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ec…f767backed Over | 40c | 57.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Under | 60c | 57.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…f00bbacked Over | 41c | 52.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 49c | 50.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 39c | 48.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 76c | 46.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Over | 42c | 42.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…c339backed Over | 25c | 42.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 45c | 37.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Over | 43c | 34.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 59c | 33.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 31.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 59c | 23.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 71c | 22.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.