TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,575

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under61c84,380$51,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,296.31816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c67,293$26,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,278.6783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Over52c60,000$31,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,199.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c45,749$27,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,773.314,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c20,456$7,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,928.7999933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c18,485$8,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,612.399154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over17c16,986$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.993,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Over20c12,700$2,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,538.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under65c4,904$3,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.571,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over49c4,092$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.93040%12 W · 18 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over25c3,921$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.1633544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under56c3,539$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.1557139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under61c3,136$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.045757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under54c3,000$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3706259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over2c2,737$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c2,705$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.9164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c2,684$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.341414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over2c2,031$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.999052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over43c1,947$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.263847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under57c1,907$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.071172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Under65c1,888$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc408…7f32backed Under58c1,638$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-66%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over20c1,380$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.13742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Under61c1,336$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.0720843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c1,321$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.2940239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under62c1,301$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.0212546.4%58 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over31c1,291$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.0823232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f8…894fbacked Over40c1,260$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under79c1,258$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.911816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over12c1,252$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.91618.8%3 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-60%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed Under48c1,229$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under63c1,029$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2411251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under63c1,025$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3211154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39069750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over41c927.15$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8641751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over13c919.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.56825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under46c900$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.652924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over26c873.45$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.72933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under61c800$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over2c719.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3760832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Under61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2733354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under60c672$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0715660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under61c627$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7911253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under80c602.77$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.772958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under61c593.46$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.1727758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…3b25backed Over60c519.47$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under66c512$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0812460.5%75 W · 49 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over38c511.79$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.310938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over4c499.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c446.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.671225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over54c429.62$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15613163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1569753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15612159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15610257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c393.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.661,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under73c393.42$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over39c384.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c379.96$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25d1…173bbacked Over37c374$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.34825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over39c373.49$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under58c341.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.922227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over32c338.96$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.434738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over5c332.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.112934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over30c329.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.210350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over61c312.67$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.733764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under61c312$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.685158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Under51c292.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb0…5390backed Over38c269.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over75c267.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under60c266.36$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6210254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over8c257$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.569561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c250.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1313051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over6c249.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510121.8%22 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c222.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2f…4aacbacked Over40c216.35$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c03…31bbbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over34c194.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under61c192.57$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.394461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1719…b07abacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over27c189.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.181,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over53c168.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9210445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under65c160$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.