TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$844

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x958d…3501backed Over58c345.18$201 inWon+$144.1919461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under42c200$84 inLost-$8418653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over75c96$72 inWon+$2410251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost-$502458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over55c87.75$48 inWon+$39.491,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under45c87.75$39 inLost-$39.492138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under25c50$13 inLost-$12.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c48.85$20 inLost-$20.411,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under25c46$12 inLost-$11.522553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under44c44$19 inLost-$19.3612050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Under42c42.94$18 inLost-$18.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c34.03$14 inLost-$14.2914425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c31$17 inWon+$13.641,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c30$14 inWon+$15.921831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b77…8e4fbacked Under53c30$16 inLost-$15.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd18a…3ae9backed Over58c22.41$13 inWon+$9.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.