La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb43f58ae0f3e61408e568aebdce98500bf01fb391107fa6ebd793d6c1f315af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 4,483$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.72 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 4,409$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.77 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 67c | 3,996$2,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.94 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 2,228$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.67 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over | 77c | 1,955$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 49c | 1,922$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.29 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 1,864$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.78 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 54c | 999$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 60c | 820.23$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 77c | 600$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 58c | 454.98$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.28 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 348.18$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 68c | 300.03$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…0c67backed Over | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 258.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 240.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.38 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 31c | 203.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 54c | 169.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.29 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf04…a3f5backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…3bb5backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3381…4c3cbacked Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 67c | 144.03$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 40c | 141.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Over | 76c | 131.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 37c | 106.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 39c | 102.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f4cabacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Under | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 39c | 59.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 32c | 35.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 33c | 32.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Over | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…c9a5backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 67c | 27.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 62c | 23.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…4fbabacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 64c | 22.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…f1a5backed Over | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…a6c2backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.