TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,310 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6be9…5998backed Under2c612.24$12 inLost-$12.242240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over77c522.91$403 inWon+$120.271,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under23c443$102 inLost-$101.897841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Over78c240$187 inWon+$52.8922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed Over75c231.35$173 inWon+$57.991822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under26c211.98$56 inLost-$56.1714525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under25c103.69$26 inLost-$25.9268450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbd…2703backed Under23c93.91$22 inLost-$21.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under28c89.29$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over75c82$62 inWon+$20.56349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over77c51.95$40 inWon+$11.953256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under23c51.95$12 inLost-$11.953,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed Under23c50.24$12 inLost-$11.622157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under24c45.47$11 inLost-$10.861,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Over76c33.04$25 inWon+$7.931963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf39…7032backed Over77c15.78$12 inWon+$3.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over77c14$11 inWon+$3.224951%25 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.