TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under38c192,009$72,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,963.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over62c68,875$42,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,184.6398833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over62c52,210$32,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,839.812050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over62c32,699$20,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,425.571145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c26,183$12,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,293.714,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.9920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c5,823$3,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.893,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c5,623$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.782634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over74c5,572$4,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.4482844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04f8…c9e9backed Over62c3,806$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over64c3,386$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.131,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Under39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under21c2,423$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Over62c2,097$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.772040%8 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under43c2,090$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c2,005$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.1256439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c1,846$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6163757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under40c1,818$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.571,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under41c1,707$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70023152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over28c1,405$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.52828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c1,289$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4939338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb63f…5225backed Over79c1,270$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over49c1,212$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.241040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39075051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Under12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over61c999.99$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39069350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under41c999.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9911723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under17c994$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.98333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under55c975.83$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under36c947.69$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.73837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f8…894fbacked Under35c908.18$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c871.15$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.9143439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under41c853.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under41c852.26$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4314951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238c…57b1backed Over59c842.97$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over61c808.48$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.313764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.233452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over52c708$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+72.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over77c700.7$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.1641351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over55c647.62$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4521831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over32c641.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.732924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Over64c627.65$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.65650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over62c609.37$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1619133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over40c561$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.620043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over61c509.84$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed Over71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under39c435.91$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6611251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under40c428.72$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.311154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under27c410$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046543.1%28 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f5b…2501backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…2c1abacked Over68c399.98$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.29666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over53c382.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.284738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167d…435ebacked Under52c369.04$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.01757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…3b25backed Over78c363.92$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over59c353.45$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8268050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over78c343.27$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.561,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-77.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10523255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over67c294.17$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0810850%54 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e7…d292backed Over67c266.67$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over61c265.54$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5617447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under40c264.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.581,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Over70c262.88$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over61c254.3$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.832,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Over66c250.86$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Under6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over68c245.71$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.796740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under38c241.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6411054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c236.5$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.569947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over52c231.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf04…a3f5backed Over59c230.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over62c230.07$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7810055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under41c229.91$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.262339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under56c212.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.672955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over62c189$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8211053.6%59 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over59c186.59$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over62c185.29$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.534037.5%15 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over59c181.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3959555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over45c176.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.242860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Under39c174.82$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under45c170.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6327257.7%157 W · 115 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc774…f218backed Over62c155.65$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9010251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over48c146.27$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.694261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under13c141.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1960732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under42c138$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9614425.7%37 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over70c135.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4844324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over55c126.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over61c124.74$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4633244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over61c112.13$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.