TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,513 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c3,081$417 inLost-$4173,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over19c2,095$393 inLost-$393.2683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over29c1,945$571 inLost-$570.9823232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under72c1,518$1,100 inWon+$417.895100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over25c1,235$309 inLost-$308.712814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under76c967.94$735 inWon+$233.4357139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over15c887.64$137 inLost-$136.714,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over16c823.7$130 inLost-$129.533544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over3c706.66$22 inLost-$22170%0 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c612.91$136 inLost-$135.7740239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under80c424.03$339 inWon+$84.812958.6%17 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c376.27$11 inLost-$11.4150%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over21c278.17$60 inLost-$59.59933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfb…2ac5backed Under78c242.73$189 inWon+$53.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over7c182.75$13 inLost-$12.5841751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over15c177.77$26 inLost-$26.311,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over22c164.87$36 inLost-$36.125448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over19c156.86$30 inLost-$29.7468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under79c150$119 inWon+$31.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over17c149.99$25 inLost-$25.514525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under79c131.98$104 inWon+$27.761,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under75c125$93 inWon+$31.7121139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over25c120$30 inLost-$3014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under78c98.6$77 inWon+$21.6964457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under79c89.14$70 inWon+$19.141861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over21c81.94$17 inLost-$17.3710445.2%47 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under70c75.41$52 inWon+$22.9111542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over32c72.2$23 inLost-$22.9959655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over23c66.89$15 inLost-$15.267842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under76c65.79$50 inWon+$15.79666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over22c54.8$12 inLost-$12.064738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a4…8d2ebacked Under80c50$40 inWon+$102100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over31c37$11 inLost-$11.4715540.6%63 W · 92 L-11.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69c8…5301backed Under75c33.33$25 inWon+$8.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under79c31$24 inWon+$6.511883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Under76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc61f…c391backed Under76c26.17$20 inWon+$6.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…926dbacked Under71c22.54$16 inWon+$6.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under70c21.43$15 inWon+$6.435360.4%32 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34df…34abbacked Under80c18.75$15 inWon+$3.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cd…9aa5backed Under79c13.6$11 inWon+$2.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.