Fifa International · resolved market
Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f6614f30eb4e3698fda5532bbb9f608be8425fb7c1cff533830c09cc617341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Yes | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 39c | 24,631$9,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,937.3 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 37c | 4,558$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.93 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,100$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.8 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 65c | 1,053$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.08 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked Yes | 26c | 804.45$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafad…21d0backed Yes | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 686.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 41c | 580.45$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 35c | 462.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…558cbacked Yes | 67c | 443.1$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 335.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 320$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 35c | 303.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.99 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 32c | 214$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 212.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 32c | 202.72$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 179$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 131.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 56c | 116.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 36c | 106.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed No | 37c | 96.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 37c | 95.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…f8d1backed Yes | 63c | 92.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…672abacked Yes | 62c | 78.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 78.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Yes | 65c | 75.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…fdb5backed Yes | 65c | 60.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 48c | 56.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 33c | 45.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…8798backed No | 71c | 45.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 42.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 38c | 38.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 69c | 28.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…48c3backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…07aebacked No | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Spain finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.