Fifa International · resolved market
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f0d41432eca7508e6185baa657063491517f961240d57eab47013a4791faa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 34c | 30,054$10,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,880.87 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 46c | 29,730$13,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,992.8 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked No | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89e…6a30backed Yes | 33c | 7,806$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,244.36 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 62c | 5,293$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.56 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed No | 66c | 3,043$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.1 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 68c | 2,165$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.19 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 22c | 2,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.51 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8d…2101backed No | 68c | 1,800$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…8459backed Yes | 38c | 1,583$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.93 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 37c | 1,020$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.27 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…931bbacked Yes | 37c | 926.22$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Yes | 34c | 813.79$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…f050backed No | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 725$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 65c | 580.44$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.59 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 537.66$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 64c | 462.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 449.55$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 62c | 375.35$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.72 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…be11backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 222.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.11 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 212.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 179$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.35 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 35c | 164.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 163$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5970…11f2backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 63c | 146.36$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…9c70backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 62c | 92.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…eef5backed Yes | 38c | 79.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 66c | 65.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…0121backed Yes | 35c | 65.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 59c | 63.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 58.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa890…76acbacked Yes | 34c | 53.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 62c | 51.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 50.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 64c | 39.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 72c | 37.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed No | 44c | 37.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…68c4backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 32.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…411fbacked No | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked Yes | 46c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a84…0340backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…c60fbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed No | 42c | 28.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 62c | 28.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 61c | 23.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…3a72backed No | 65c | 21.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…07aebacked No | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked No | 63c | 16.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…4022backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Argentina finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.