Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbbd124da6523be3c2332ddc5e4c42f1d808adbeafc9a9e555cff71b2119e622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $826,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $836,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…0546backed Yes | 56c | 344,661$193,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,964.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 45c | 226,889$102,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,448.25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038d…d484backed No | 44c | 179,774$78,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,076.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 46c | 68,815$31,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,071.98 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 41c | 37,437$15,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,997.21 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 45c | 30,880$13,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,983.95 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 45c | 28,023$12,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,312.32 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 46c | 27,989$12,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,059.34 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 54c | 27,778$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 44c | 27,672$12,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,573.47 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7833…1c0bbacked Yes | 58c | 20,800$11,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,963.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 57c | 20,705$11,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,784.07 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 56c | 19,964$11,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,179.61 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes | 54c | 18,519$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 56c | 17,000$9,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,520 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 44c | 15,000$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,350 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 53c | 14,436$7,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 45c | 13,065$5,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,185.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 53c | 10,194$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.71 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9e…bde4backed No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 51c | 8,698$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.72 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 52c | 7,077$3,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.27 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed No | 46c | 5,936$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…21e7backed Yes | 44c | 4,561$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 35c | 4,521$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.7 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed No | 41c | 4,065$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +306.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 45c | 3,923$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.92 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Yes | 56c | 3,906$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…0bf9backed No | 45c | 3,822$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Yes | 54c | 3,822$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.98 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Yes | 50c | 3,360$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 55c | 3,110$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.55 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 58c | 3,062$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.93 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 45c | 2,896$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3570…cabbbacked No | 44c | 2,895$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66d…1c6bbacked No | 44c | 2,725$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 56c | 2,480$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 47c | 2,460$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.14 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 2,429$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.37 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…0154backed Yes | 56c | 2,235$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 44c | 2,192$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.36 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d08…eda0backed Yes | 49c | 2,054$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 58c | 2,050$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…8031backed Yes | 56c | 2,034$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes | 53c | 1,883$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 44c | 1,866$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.38 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…db68backed Yes | 56c | 1,863$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0232…9391backed Yes | 54c | 1,807$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf427…5275backed Yes | 56c | 1,723$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Yes | 54c | 1,690$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 54c | 1,681$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 60c | 1,668$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 54c | 1,565$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed No | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…455bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,488$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 1,478$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.6 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 55c | 1,366$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.15 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…0dbfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,284$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…39dabacked No | 46c | 1,284$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd922…ab20backed Yes | 55c | 1,254$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 53c | 1,232$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.78 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 47c | 1,202$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.32 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,128$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…2de2backed Yes | 45c | 1,101$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 56c | 1,044$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.81 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…5e86backed Yes | 57c | 1,025$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.91 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d264backed Yes | 54c | 984.37$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…af2ebacked Yes | 55c | 969.57$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 54c | 928.2$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…dbe8backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 56c | 909.99$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.4 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 58c | 865.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 47c | 765.96$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed Yes | 7c | 762.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 47c | 752$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.56 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…5250backed Yes | 53c | 751.06$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 55c | 747.33$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.03 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…0acebacked Yes | 54c | 734.98$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.89 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa293…2919backed Yes | 59c | 725.19$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 49c | 721.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.51 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-16?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.