TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0232…9391

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: F1, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10256.9%58 W · 44 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 102 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$35.2
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.4%+$64.54
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$69.12
Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57.78
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$38
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+53.8%+$32.31
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$77.9
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$81.09
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.54
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$88.82
Spread: Bengals (-6.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.12
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$44.93
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100.72
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+53.8%+$22.75
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$38.42
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$105.64
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$50.69
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.4
Showing 25 of 102 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$36
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.2
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$72.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$167.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$284.34
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$975.78
Will Real Madrid beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT+44.9%+$62.31
Will Arsenal beat Atalanta?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$53
Will Barcelona beat Monaco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$59
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+41.1%+$32.6
Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$35
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+206.1%+$87.54
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+57.8%+$119.35
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoebacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+38.9%+$10.72
US Open: Sinner vs. Draperbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$42
US Open: De Minaur vs. Draperbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$66
Zverev vs. Fritz - US Openbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$63
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$80
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$41.3
Will Nadal win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$42.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$109.36
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$55.66
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$174.08
Thunder vs. Hawksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$46
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.6
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$491.33
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$133.5
Luka Doncic top scorer in NBA Finals? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2024, EDT+58.7%+$17.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2024, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 US Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT+42.4%+$268
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the British Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympic Basketball: USA (-29.5) vs. South Sudan Spreadbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.