TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,196

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6761…a94fbacked No24c11,681$2,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.929038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No24c8,380$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.3215442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No25c5,555$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.7410232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed Yes76c5,504$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce8…4a44backed Yes75c4,923$3,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.25560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No25c2,489$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes76c2,222$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+135.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Yes77c2,078$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.92757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick74cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No25c1,742$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+44%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No20c1,687$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.4917048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c2…0a62backed Yes75c1,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.984641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No56c1,267$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.534233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1856…1964backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes71c850.65$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6513847.1%65 W · 73 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed No31c829.12$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff25…1738backed Yes70c810$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2431258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b48…51d0backed No25c785.77$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…434cbacked Yes70c766.28$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe484…7c7abacked Yes72c744.24$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685e…bb41backed Yes75c721.68$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes63c631.56$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1522647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Yes76c610$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.67266.7%48 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked No38c551.9$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No23c533.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.317348%83 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No10c458.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.164252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked No25c430.49$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6211548.7%56 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e7…5e93backed Yes72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3258…9e52backed Yes68c335.07$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.57366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e0…b310backed Yes77c328.46$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2807…97febacked No32c307.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No69c300$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed Yes62c300$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes9c275.54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.741118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick4cpaid+304%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbb…55dbbacked Yes72c266.93$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe227…55d8backed Yes75c265.41$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.354045%18 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes75c264$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Yes75c255.16$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.571275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…a9c2backed Yes77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed No37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.52540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0232…9391backed Yes75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.338651.2%44 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec26…b538backed Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Yes77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+74.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes75c114.01$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d4…6af6backed No24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed No25c103$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa20…0088backed No26c101.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551625%4 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f6c…2cb9backed Yes75c96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b88…7b00backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6014…dd16backed Yes75c78.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.46366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes75c77.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b9…4e99backed No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7856…139fbacked No26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3daf…0978backed Yes75c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3b…0aa1backed Yes75c69.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7204…9e0cbacked Yes73c68.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes75c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.751145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3676…c975backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c6…1484backed No26c65.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007a…7f5ebacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.941553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1c…4503backed Yes75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf98…672abacked No26c53.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf8…e746backed Yes76c52.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x756d…6989backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…af29backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28eb…fd31backed Yes52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a03…63b4backed Yes76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9b…40b8backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…b48abacked No26c47.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes75c45.15$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.294131.7%13 W · 28 L-8.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6380…0dc0backed Yes75c43.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…a3bebacked No24c42.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+1,654.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x538a…bd78backed Yes36c42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a9…1e50backed Yes62c40.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa1c…1429backed No26c40.19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…bbeabacked No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db5…d7bcbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc682…b6acbacked Yes76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1645…47a0backed Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.472055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c10…8aacbacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.469252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e09…ca1cbacked Yes75c34.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.894254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…9aecbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29ed…16d8backed Yes76c30.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…35d2backed Yes75c28$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52d…9505backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167f…1f51backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5634…403dbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde15…eb64backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec83…5b5bbacked Yes77c24.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599b…baf1backed Yes77c24.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.