TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5697…cddf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2024, EDT2871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+33.4%+$38.75
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Jets vs. Broncosbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$124
Browns vs. Giantsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$111
Buccaneers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+25.7%+$30.8
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will there be less than 625 points scored NFL Week 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$41.29
Eagles vs. Falconsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$168.37
Patriots vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+26.9%+$29.82
Jaguars vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+25%+$27.89
Vikings vs. 49ersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+110.5%+$110.52
Lions vs. Buccaneersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Cowboys vs. Saintsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.76
Panthers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+28.2%+$35.26
49ers vs. Jetsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$53.69
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2024, EDT+50.3%+$53.83
Buccaneers vs. Commandersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Seahawks vs. Broncosbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$64.39
Dolphins vs. Jaguarsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Bears vs. Titansbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Bengals vs. Patriotsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Bills vs. Cardinalsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$40.41
Falcons vs. Steelersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2024, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta beat Arsenal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will the match between Stade Brestois vs. Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Red Star Belgrade beat Benfica?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will the match between Feyenoord vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Celtic beat Slovan Bratislava?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$73.91
Will AC Milan beat Liverpool?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will AC Milan vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+30.7%+$60.36
Will Real Madrid beat VfB Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+32.5%+$62.57
Will Sporting CP vs. LOSC Lille end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$35
Will Juventus vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$31.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2024, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+32.8%+$32.78
Will Arsenal vs. Leicester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$56.55
Will Brighton beat Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+25%+$25
Will Everton beat Leicester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$23.15
Will Southampton beat Ipswich Town?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Tottenham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Will Bournemouth vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$35.84
Will Crystal Palace vs. Leicester City end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brighton beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Will Fulham vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Southampton vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2024, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$44.21
US Open: Fritz vs. Tiafoebacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+37%+$68.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ESL Counter-Strike Quarterfinals: G2 vs Liquidbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2024, EDT+41.5%+$41.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA: Lynx vs. Mercury Game 2backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$96.47
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.